Mobilization in the Russian Federation and its effects on the security of the Republic of Moldova.
President Maia Sandu stated during yesterday’s press briefing that one of the recommendations of the Supreme Security Council is the stricter monitoring of the settlements on the left bank of the Dniester and discouraging the involvement of the population from this area in mobilization activities carried out by the Russian Federation. In this regard, the experts of the Platform provide an opinion on the mobilization in the Russian Federation and its effects on the security of the Republic of Moldova.
On September 21, 2022, President Vladimir Putin issued a decree regarding partial mobilization in the Russian Federation, and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu stated that 300,000 people would be mobilized at the initial stage to be sent to the front in Ukraine. The declaration of partial mobilization has sparked controversy both in Russia and globally and has clearly shown that the Russian Special Military Operation in Ukraine is not progressing according to the initial scenario. According to Western analysts, the Russian military units fighting in Ukraine have suffered significant losses. Some sources claim that certain units of the regular Russian army have lost up to 70% of their personnel and military equipment, thus becoming unable to continue combat operations. It is still unknown exactly where and in what role the 300,000 freshly mobilized Russians will be used. However, it is certain that some of them will reach the front in Ukraine in the near future, after completing 2-3 weeks of training. The most likely scenario is that the mobilized personnel will complete the units on the front line, to consolidate the current defensive lines, prevent strong Ukrainian offensive forces, and regain the initiative on the battlefield. the fight. An important factor that the Russian military system will not be able to address to ensure an efficient mobilization is the lack of equipment, modern weaponry, and other logistical means to fully equip the mobilized forces. fully. However, the losses of equipment and military technology suffered by the Russian army from the beginning of the war until now represent a problem that cannot be overcome in a short time. in a short period of time. Additionally, the military equipment and technology stored for mobilization are outdated, some of them dating back to World War II. world war. Moreover, from a military perspective, the mobilization has been declared delayed, and it is most likely that it will not bring the expected results, considering the operational pace imposed by the Ukrainian forces on the battlefield. battlefield. In the end, the partial mobilization declared by Russia must accelerate a series of activities in the first round in the National Defense System of the Republic of Moldova. of the Republic of Moldova:
✔ the consolidation of defense capacity must be accelerated by equipping the National Army with modern weapons and technology;
✔ the critical military capabilities must be rapidly strengthened, namely anti-tank, air defense, mobility, and early warning (including through the provision of unmanned aerial vehicles);
✔ it is necessary to increase the number of military exercises involving reservists, which will maintain the training level of personnel designated for mobilization at the initial stages;
✔ It is absolutely necessary to supplement the stocks intended for mobilization with modern equipment and to update the records of mobilization resources.